Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.575292 5.443235 6.407913 7.556303 8.882659 10.362860 12.136081
2025-08-03 3.298997 4.407634 5.765891 7.538752 9.776420 12.490347 16.012424
2025-08-10 2.416725 3.567806 5.099551 7.257590 10.184883 13.977983 19.217748
2025-08-17 1.838820 2.965958 4.578433 7.004410 10.501391 15.288257 22.247003
2025-08-24 1.493638 2.605775 4.300932 6.999801 11.096015 16.966432 25.867768
2025-08-31 1.240593 2.326759 4.081003 7.019885 11.689304 18.655964 29.613101
2025-09-07 1.026108 2.062973 3.832337 6.941619 12.095785 20.074494 33.047090
2025-09-14 0.817653 1.764138 3.471214 6.616816 12.052762 20.774429 35.415666
2025-09-21 0.693243 1.594517 3.302837 6.585963 12.470351 22.209618 39.015558
2025-09-28 0.590857 1.446273 3.147189 6.549801 12.861898 23.617299 42.657385
2025-10-05 0.553772 1.426824 3.232086 6.962529 14.076477 26.482030 48.892187
2025-10-12 0.500487 1.360528 3.212531 7.169313 14.930258 28.785023 54.328289
2025-10-19 0.462473 1.324272 3.253955 7.509911 16.082948 31.728391 61.127815
2025-10-26 0.401354 1.219007 3.131986 7.503205 16.571299 33.525174 66.052623
2025-11-02 0.331342 1.074072 2.897292 7.226416 16.495501 34.277743 69.154919
2025-11-09 0.274677 0.950149 2.688858 6.975152 16.437803 35.047073 72.323703
2025-11-16 0.240037 0.879767 2.596854 6.970853 16.886576 36.807258 77.437016
2025-11-23 0.211331 0.819689 2.520269 6.990954 17.385695 38.695730 82.905872
2025-11-30 0.182462 0.751116 2.409383 6.913000 17.659405 40.149178 87.619342
2025-12-07 0.148950 0.656729 2.210740 6.589391 17.346005 40.380309 89.939812
2025-12-14 0.130108 0.608133 2.131780 6.558653 17.698695 42.009113 95.140542
2025-12-21 0.113625 0.563134 2.054986 6.522625 18.033369 43.619209 100.394497
2025-12-28 0.110716 0.570839 2.139806 6.933847 19.479499 47.705407 110.966453